Saturday, March 28, 2020

Covid 19 - A week in the Life Of


Keep Calm and Carry On Reading



From articles inspired by The Sunday Time (of which I have been an avid reader for more than forty years.)



A Shipment of 20 tons of medical equipment arrived in Italy from China.  On Tuesday the EU shut their external borders to most non-residents.  (so much for free movement)



Meanwhile, the French can still go to the boulangerie for their morning bread - handed over a barricaded counter (shades of the Paris Commune) - you can also walk to the tabac, wine shop or street market.  Anyone leaving home must carry an attestation, an official form on which they must select from one of a small number of reasons to justify their presence on the street, or risk a £125 fine.  One of the worst hit areas is Mulhouse, an eastern city where a gathering of tens of thousands of evangelical Christians in February is blamed for a large cluster of cases. (divine retribution?)  The French government has pumped several hundred millions of euros into supporting both individuals and companies.  The tourist industry is in tatters.



The drive-in cinema is making a comeback in America, as one of the only public spectacles allowing viewers isolation.  A priest in Maryland is offering a drive-through confessional service in a car park following the suspension of masses.



More than 150 people in Jordan have been arrested for breaking a coronavirus curfew.  In Iraq people have ignored government warnings and ventured out, many on pilgrimages to holy sites.  (good to know that Muslims are as silly as anyone else)  



Coronavirus by Country



Italy    53 578
China    81 008
Iran    20 610
France    14 459
America  24 142
UK    5018
South Korea    8799
(any figures for North Korea?  Guess not)
Germany    22 213
Switzerland     6655
Belgium    2815
Indonesia    450
Japan        1046
(the Olympic have finally been postponed for a year)
Sweden    1764
Philippines    307
Canada    1 205
Aus        1 072
NZ        52



In a reversal of fortunes, westerners in Asia now face the stigma of the coronavirus,finding themselves regarded as potential carriers of Covid-19 because of surging infection rates in their home countries.



Pandemic blame game widens rift between Trump and furious China. Anti - US conspiracy theories in response to the president's Wuhan flu jibes look set to push relations back still further. Apparently there is increasing talk in US circles of decoupling from China. Beijing state media is pushing the line that the virus source was the United States. To the unconcealed fury of Beijing Trump and his allies have repeatedly referred to the disease as the Chinese virus or Wuhan flu. Chinese officials theorise that US soldiers competing in a sports competition last year brought the virus to Wuhan. On Friday the Chinese media circulated the idea that the US withdrew from the 2001 bio-weapon treaty to develop the virus. Meanwhile Tom Cotton, the Republican senator theorises that China came from an accidental leak from a Wuhan lab. (rats fighting each other in a sack?) As the virus surged in Europe and the US, China is reporting no new cases. 



Boris’ dad, Stanley Johnson, has decided to become a French citizen because his mother Irene was born in France.  Stanley was the Tory MP for Wight and Hampshire East from 1979-84 and worked for the European Commission, so his children spent part of their childhood in Brussels.



Jokes



Did you hear the one about John Travolta testing negative for the virus?  Turns out it was only Saturday Night Fever.



What do you call an Instagram celebrity with Covid-19?  An Influenzer.



So many coronavirus jokes out there, it’s a pundemic.



My therapist: your OCD is irrational. :  My government: you must wash your hands 19 times a day.



In an unsettling reversal of my teenage years, I am now yelling at my parents for going out.



Day two without sports.  Found a young lady sitting on my settee.  Apparently she’s my wife. She seems nice.



I never thought I’d say this, but can we go back to talking about Brexit.



The prime minister suggesting people should not go to the pub is like Trump suggesting people should avoid shooting others in the street.



I managed to get one loo roll from Tesco.  I feel bad for the next person to use their customer toilet.



Matthew Dyed says in his article: We crave order in the heart of the storm. No wonder tall tales and populists are seductive - an email popped into his box explaining that the Chinese developed the virus to incite global recession - shortly thereafter it was asserted that Bill Gates had developed it as a population control measure.  In response, scientists wrote in the Lancet that the virus emerged from wildlife without any human intervention. Conspiracy theorists instantly claimed that they were in on it. He goes on: When we feel uncertain, when randomness intrudes upon our lives, we respond by reintroducing order in some other way.  Superstitions and conspiracy theories speak to this need. Fortunately, hard core conspiracy theorists may behave as though their delusions are true, but most people merely pay lip service to them, giving them a nod on a busy day, not unlike an atheist whispering a silent prayer during a bout of airplane turbulence.



Many people suddenly become scientists, or at least experts in a field they have little or no training in or aptitude for.  



In times of uncertainty, people are more likely to put their faith in demagogues, such as the autocrats who came to power in Germany and Italy after the chaos of the First World War.  People cling to the idea of “temporary kings” who can claim overlordship if natural phenomena like the wind, the rain or even the virus. Perhaps the case of Donald Trump may illustrate.  As the crisis hit, he reached for the playbook of compensatory control, dismissing the virus as overblown and exaggerating his power to defeat it. “We closed it down, we stopped it.” He also blamed the Chinese, which undermined the global action.  His critics will hope these mistakes make as strong an impression on American voters as the dismantling of the National Security Council unit that focussed on pandemic preparedness.



This, of course, may be the reason he has done what he has.  He is a prisoner of the times, and he can’t escape. Faced with an election in November he must either sink or swim.  So, he can take charge and hope it works or just muddle on hoping it may not be as bad as some scientists believe.



Take Herbert Hoover as an example.  In the early stages of WW One, he gained great acclimation for his work in bringing humanitarian relief to Belgium.  Herbert Hoover created the Commission for Relief in Belgium (CRB) to help the victims of famine. At the time of the CRB's foundation, the United States had not yet entered the war, and Hoover was viewed as a neutral negotiator. As a result, he was personally able to deal with the English, French, and German governments, so that the CRB could bring aid to the famished citizens.



Food relief was essential because 10 million Belgians and French were dependent on it during the four years of German occupation. The first ship to deliver goods to the Belgians carried 1,018 tons of wheat, rice, beans, and peas. Close to 2,500 other ships took 5 million tons of food to the innocent civilians. By working together, Hoover and prominent Belgian officials ensured that the acquired food was given directly to the citizens of the starving areas.



Through these extensive undertakings, 3 billion dollars were spent delivering 11 million metric tons of supplies to the countries in need. The United States funded most of the money, though some others, like Britain, did help out a bit. Belgium and France tried to cover the cost of the food relief efforts by taking out loans. However, during the Great Depression, the loans were deserted.



Even after the United States entered the war in 1917, Hoover still helped combat hunger. As the appointed head of the United States Food Administration (USFA), he encouraged the Americans to conserve food. Through these efforts, there would be enough to send to Europeans in need. Once the war ended, he continued to help arrange relief as head of the American Relief Administration for all of the European countries, as well as defeated Germany and the other Central Powers. In this capacity, Hoover enabled 6 million tons of food to be sent to just about every European country.



Herbert Hoover is, thus, credited with saving close to 10 million lives in this region —about 2 million in northern France, and approximately 7 million Belgians.



Of course, he gets no credit for this when the Great Depression took hold and, indeed, is held responsible for much of it by the American people living in shanty towns (Hoovervilles).  He took the view that it was not the government’s job to get involved, And we got FDR as a direct response and consequence. This is the spectre that haunts Trump.  



Only time will tell who is correct!



Quotes of the Week



We are taking away the ancient, inalienable right of the free-born people of the UK to go to the pub.
Boris Johnson



I encourage you all to keep smiling through.
  • Dame Vera Lynn quotes from her famous war-time song We’ll Meet Again



It’s not often you’ll find me talking about the great indoors - but this is the exception.
Bear Grylls - Chief Scout



Do remember, they can’t cancel the Spring.
David Hockney, releasing a picture of some daffodils



Jeremy Clarkson



Jeremy Clarkson is an acquired taste, but he’s witty and usually a good laugh.  His piece, “My Old age is cancelled, and society’s about to collapse and the greens just can’t stop smiling” 



A Selection: so the canals of Venice are no longer the colour of a Cadbury’s Fruit and Nut.  They are gin-clear. This is great news for the hard-core greens who will read this and say to themselves Ooh, that’s lovely.  Wouldn’t it be fantastic if the water stayed that way forever! In the sky there are no aluminium tubes filled with Fatties from Newcastle heading for the chlamydia hotspots in Spain.  Of course, we could try explaining to our idiotic green friends that thousands of people have actually died. Don’t forget the spiritual leader, David Attenborough, said “our population growth had to come to an end.  That’s something the greens would, presumably, welcome - especially if it's just a cull or the old ad the sick. They rejoice at the stock market debacle after all, say Friend of the Earth, in this time of trouble, poverty, disease and economic despair it will bring out the best in people.  Hang on, in a few weeks when they’ve eaten the last of their tinned spaghetti hoops and the supermarket shelves are bare and they have no money and the banks are shut and the cash machines are empty and the wi-fi is down and the kids are screaming, you wait and see where the milk of human kindness goes then.  



That’s why, says Jeremy, when you were stocking up on bog rolls. I was out buying four tons of vegetable sets and, just in case I’m right and Friends of the Earth are wrong, 600 shotgun cartridges. (Jeremy notes that he needs them to shoot deer, not people - wow! he dodged a bullet on that one literally and figuratively )  It could be that in a month we will stop going for long walks and playing on-line Scrabble people will stop paying their taxes.  And then when they run short they will steal. Even the vicar, when hungry, will kill the lady who embroiders the church kneelers for a custard cream. ( I have spent about a week reading or re-reading all the end-of-the-world stories I can remember - most of course concern nuclear wars but the scenario is essentially the same - breakdown of society and the rule of law.)  Sure the socialist/green movement will see Elton John putting out his own bins and Alan Sugar cycling to the tip and they will say it’s become fairer now the young are poor and the old are dead.  



But it fills me with such sadness, says Clarkson.  I’m about to turn 60. I was building a house, and I was looking forward to sitting in a rocking chair on the porch, with a glass of wine, listening to the far off murmur of civilization and the whispery giggle of my grandchildren playing hide-and-seek in the long grass.  Instead, I’m facing the possibility of my house never being finished and not seeing the countries I haven’t yet visited and losing friends to the effing virus whilst having to do back-breaking work that I then barter for clothes pegs from the local whittler. The worst thing is that I’ll have to live my remaining days with dirty fingernails and warts listening to an endless stream of smug green people gloating about how happy they are.  And boiling wood to make hoes is exactly what they have always wanted to do. I don’t want to live in that world. Sorry to be so morose, I’m not usually an unhappy person, but I have nothing to smile about. The world as we knew it is ending and I wasn’t ready for that.  



Snippets



A doctor reported that two patients arrived at a London  A&E for advice on coronavirus: one feared he may have become infected after a long telephone conversation with someone in China and the other wondered if he could have picked up the virus from a Chinese take-away.



The headline of the year's contest is over:  The Spectator ran a profile of Sir Patrick Valllance, the government’s chief scientific officer and professor Chris Whitty, the Chief medical officer under the heading The Two Gentlemen of Corona.



When Chris Heaton-Harris was a backbencher he tweeted, I’ve a mate who thinks the cradle of civilisation was in Zagreb. he‘s a Croationist.



Niall Ferguson - fellow at the Hoover Institution Stanford



The word genocide is well known,  Less well known is the word “senicide” meaning the deliberate murder of the elderly.  Senicide is such a rare word that Microsoft’s Word underlines it in red. Itching to auto-correct it to suicide.  All that is about to change. 



 I suggest you track down:  "The Law of Life" it's a short story by the American naturalist writer Jack London. It was first published in McClure's Magazine, Vol.16, March, 1901. In 1902, it was published in a collection of Jack London's stories, The Children of Frost, by Macmillan Publishers. - should be out of copyright and therefore freely available on the ubiquitous internet.



The statistics are unequivocal.  If, as it seems increasingly likely that a significant number of western countries are going to mismanage the pandemic then a very large number of old people are going to die before their time.   In China the case fatality rate for those under 50 was 0.2%. For those over 60 it was 3.6%, for the over 70’s 8% and for the over 80’s it shoots to 14.8% In Italy the rates are even higher for the various age groups.  In one respect it is a blessing that Covid seems to be ageist. In the US for instance the flu epidemic of 1958 killed the Under 5’s at a greater rate than it killed the over 64’s.



When the present epidemic has run its course and we have lost more Britons, Italians and  Americans than Chinese it will be because the Asian countries drew the right conclusions from the Sars epidemic of 2003.  Most western countries did not draw the same conclusions from their relatively easy exposure in 2009. I wrote about this in this column on Jan 26.  Nothing was done.



It was not just Donald Trump’s irresponsible nonchalance that did the damage.  There were failures of the very organisations charged with protecting us. In American there has been a scandalous insufficiency of testing klts.  Belarus and Russia have more kits. The UK policy of herd immunity at the early stages was clearly wrong. Because of these blunders, America and the UK have moved too slowly to adopt the mass testing in East Asia.



How many may die?  We do not know. In America, if the Italian experience is repeated in New York and California we could see between a half and a million deaths.  I’ve seen worst case figures of 1.7 to 2.2 million. In the UK it could be 510 00 deaths.



The 19th Century Russian historian, Nickoli Karamzin defined senocide as the right of children to murder parents overburdened by pld age and ilness, and useless to their fellow citizens.  Explorers reported that the practice was still being practised by the Netsilil of King William Island as recently as the 1930’s. (have a look at the fate of the Franklin Expedition to this area of Canada in the 1840’s which is well-documented)



Senicde will not be tolerated in modern, developed democracies.  Those whose sins of omission will be harshly judged by the voters, history and quite possibly the judges,



Rod Liddle



I always read Ron Liddle's column. OK, he's a fascist, but he is a humorous fascist and a keen observer of what's on the mind of the public. His offering: My daughter's going to get an education after six months in isolation with me, is done well. 



I particularly like his interjection - we may enjoy an afternoon revelling in Falangist art as we listen to Ride of the Valkyries. We must assume he's joking or his daughter might kill him. Ron decides to go to a farmer's market instead of the supermarket,hoping that if he contracts the virus it will be an expensive middle class - a kind of organic, fair-trade Covid 19. How reactionary can you get? He needs fags. (Ron is an arch - smoker and believes firmly it's none of the government's business if you want to smoke.) He is quite happy to stand next to 100 sweating wheezing doomed creatures who have just returned from a package tour of Wuhan, Tehran and Milan.



He returns home with his stash of Superkings and washes his hands. Problem. Since he has washed his hands how does he turn the tap off? Eventually he decides to use the towel which he used to dry his hands on to turn off the water. Great. But what to do with the towel. He muses - officialdom seems to forget that the public are morons. He proposes that the morons should get priority allocations of ventilators and stuff. It's not their fault that they were born with the perceptiveness and ingenuity of krill. On Friday, Ron's wife did the last school run and they are now tasked with the company of a truculent teenager for six months. A hell beyond imagining. His wife had first go. She informed the daughter that at 9 on Monday she would expect her to vacuum the house. The daughter looked mystified. The daughter explained that she thought that that woman who comes round did the vacuuming and brought her own machine. Mum moves on to the dishwasher. Ron fears that they will soon have to buy a new one. 



So he devises a-plan to re-educate his daughter, who he fears has been so inculcated by the left-wing school system that it is now critical that she learn some facts.  His Monday module is entitled How the British Empire Brought Decency, Democracy and Proper Drains to the Grateful People of the World.  (he glosses over how the loss of the Empire was mostly owing to  incompetence, cruelty and mal-administration) In Tuesday's chemistry lesson he teaches her to set fire to a photo of Greta Thurnberg using a small cube of sodium and a bowl of water.  The Geography lesson will focus on how poverty in Africa is solely the result of colonisation, with special reference to Ethiopia and Liberia - never colonised ( he seems to have forgotten the Italian invasion in the prelude to WW2 ) contrasting this with Singapore and Malaysia - colonised for 140 years.  In literature she will study nothing written since 1912 (except Aye Rand) and concentrate on works by Thomas Carlyle and Edmund Burke.  Sex education will consist of horrific photos depicting the sex act, chidbirth, single parenthood plus lengthy readings from the Book of Revelations (Deuteronomy might be better) and reciting mantra-like the word NO, NO.



In case you think he’s joking, he muses that the alternative is to watch his daughter endlessly swiping back and forth on her bloody phone, earplugs in as sentience drains from her brain through the tiny hole therein.



He concludes:  for the most part the responses to the viruses and the injunctions imposed have been patient, civilized, understanding and sometimes noble.  But with shopping trollies piled even higher with loo roll and folks clinging to the soft-ply tissue as if it were the last cherished remnant of an easier life, he’s not sure it’s all worth it. Perhaps the kids are better off immersed in their virtual world, listening to Korean pop music and suddenly becoming precariously mortal.



Tom Holland



Reminding readers that Boris is essentially a classist, Tom charts how the demise of many classical civilizations was the result, at least in part, of disease and pestilence.  Boris’ Pericles was done in by a plague that wiped out a third of the population of Athens and Pericles himself.



In the ancient empires prospects of a long life were poor.  Cities like Rome and Alexandria teemed with “immigrants” from the intersection of two of the most toxic cradles for pathogens - central Africa and central Asia.  In the mid-third century a plague much like ebola cut a great scythe through the empire. Bowels melted into a soggy mess, blood oozed from the eyes and feet rotted away. (wow, you think we’ve got it bad) The result was -  the Roman World collapsed into anarchy.



By the sixth century when Yersinia pestis - the plague pathogen, originally from China (Trump would be pleased) Rome had moved to Constantinople.  The pile of corpses were piled so high that the Emperor was obliged to dump them in the sea. Vast pits were dug outside the city walls and new bodies were laid and trodden upon by feet and trampled like spoiled grapes  (it’s useful to remember, that your distant ancestors were living through this as if they were not you are not here alive today)



Fortunately, we are equipped to fight epidemics in a way the ancients would find incomprehensible.  Our civilization is not melting away like a sand castle, Covid 19 will pass, and most of us will pull through  And yet, occasionally, at the back of the PM’s mind does the spectre of the surest mirror held up to our future appear?



And from a Week of the Eastern Daily Press   - local paper in Norfolk



The Burston Crown - a 438 year old pub in south Norfolk is offering home deliveries of supplies and meals to locals.



Tenerife police drag councilor from pool amid lockdown - maybe my favourite of the week this local dignitary, on vacation in Tenerife decided screw the lockdown, I’m going swimming in the hotel pool.  Nor for long, a copper jumped in, dragged her out and threw her in jail



Were in limbo - house buyers speak out about uncertainty - self explanatory



From the letters to the Editor - we are reaping the result of the Margaret Thatcher years of loads of money an screw everyone else



It will cost £36 million to bring Norfolk roads up to the standard they were in 2007



Southern England could be in drought in 20 years without cuts in water use - should we start worrying?



Pathetic behaviour, milk bottles reported being stolen front door steps



From John Bailey - fishing correspondent:  Fishing for a lockdown strategy, or what next?



Prince Charles test positive as Duke and Duchess of Cambridge return to their Norfolk home



Wetherspoons boycott is the least Tim Martin deserves



Meditation in a crisis - advice from Norwich Buddist Centre



West End smash hit the Book of Mormon is coming to Norwich - dates and time tbc  - and Joseph Smith is twirling in his grave.



Parents will need to show patience with their children   - editorial



Coronavirus prompts brewery to launch “drive through” for beer - about time to







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