Monday, October 28, 2019

Presidential Angels


The better angels of their nature

We live in strange times. Seemingly lost in the Brexit conundrum, are the reactions of our closest ally and object of the special relationship. President Trump's pronouncements on the subject have been, in general, unhelpful and misleading. He has fallen into the classic trap of promising the UK a great free trade deal, but never saying how or when this may be accomplished. We are left wondering about this course of action.

Having just returned from state side, I was struck by the general lack of knowledge and informed debate from both the US government and the American general public. Except for promising a great deal the President seems unwilling or unable to comment sagely or give an informed opinion.

So we are left with Boris challenging Members of Parliament to basically back me or sack me, by insisting his deal is the only one in town.

We find that President Trump has, to his discredit, failed to make any real attempt to understand the real issues that underpin Brexit. Glib pronouncements are not required. They may be readily found in the media. "In part, this distance from the United States reflects well-justified wariness of the Trump administration. British leaders have, by now, learned not to trust Trump vapourware. Through the early part of 2017, Trump and Trump-administration officials again and again promised 3rapid progress toward a post-Brexit free-trade agreement. Trump told British reporters at the Hamburg G20 in July 2017: “We”—meaning the United States and Great Britain—“have been working on a trade deal which will be a very, very big deal, a very powerful deal, great for both countries, and I think we will have that done very, very quickly.” There was a time when pro-Brexit politicians and pundits believed and relied on those words, but that time is long gone. " - Atlantic magazine.

Now, it seems, the President has lost interest or moved on to more pressing matters. Donald Trump has said it would be “terrible” if Boris Johnson’s Brexit plan was blocked – making the comments hours after an historic ruling against the prime minister by Britain’s top court.

"Appearing alongside Mr Johnson on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, the US president through his support behind his determination to leave the EU.

Meanwhile the UK staggers on towards some sort of Brexit, oblivious to the reality that a free trade deal with the US has receded so far as to make the Andromeda galaxy seem closer.

Brexiteers are right to point out that the US is by far the UK's largest market after the European Union. What they cannot say is how to square the Donald's America First mantra with a comprehensive free trade deal. To the outside observer, these seem mutually exclusive propositions. Squaring this circle is at the heart of the Brexit debate insofar as it applies to the special relationship."

And, the pace of the debate is supercharged by the self - imposed Halloween deadline set by Boris. While Rome burns Boris fiddles with the numbers in Parliament, and thinks that he can push the legislation through in record time and with little or no scrutiny. Miracles do happen. Had he not so alienated the DUP it might even work. Crunch time is here. Again!

And at the bar of public opinion meanwhile there is no real appetite for just muddling on in the hope that, Micawber-like, something will turn up. Following a Pyrrhic victory Boris faces a real dilemma : should he keep trying or throw in the towel and go for a general election? Cannons to the right of him, and left and in front. Where will he turn?

Who knows?

One thing seems sure - the President has lost interest, has other fish to fry and may be further distracted by troubles on the home front.

Bon appetite.